Global View
The Fed Is Trapped
Oil, Iran, and a Jobs Number That Changes Everything
Global View
Oil, Iran, and a Jobs Number That Changes Everything
Macro Observations
The speed of the move in crude determines whether it feeds inflation expectations or destroys demand. History is unambiguous about which one precedes recession.
Newsletter
You’re already showing up. Now decide how you want to be seen.
High Yield Spotlight
But The Premium And Leverage Deserve A Harder Look
Newsletter
Plus, A New Geopolitical Risk Reshuffles The Deck
Newsletter
Join us for dinner and drinks this Sunday and Monday during Future Proof
Newsletter
Key Highlights * Lead-Lag Media will be on site at Future Proof Miami as an official sponsor. * Stop by our booth (location TBA) for high-level strategy conversations, live demos, and Lead-Lag Live interview opportunities. * I’ll be hosting a small, invitation-only dinner with Xtrackers by DWS and
Newsletter
CE-Credit Eligible Webinar Today
Leaders-Laggards
Is This the Beginning of the End for U.S. Growth Dominance?
Weekly Signals
Three of four risk-off signals front-ran the geopolitical shock. The US-Iran conflict and resulting oil spike were the event risk that Utilities, Treasuries, and Gold had been pricing in for weeks.
Lead-Lag Live
U.S. equity concentration has reached historic extremes. The next leg of the AI trade may not be where most investors are looking.
Newsletter
Structural tightening, global expansion, and portfolio implications of carbon allowances.