Weekly Signals
My award-winning research from 2014 showed that utility stocks typically outperform the broader stock market in advance of market volatility. Utilities are the perfect example of a low-beta, interest-rate-sensitive, non-cyclical sector. During times of risk-off, investors are drawn to them because their dividends and
Leaders-Laggards
Below is an assessment of the performance of some of the most important sectors and asset classes relative to each other with an interpretation of what underlying market dynamics may be signaling about the future direction of risk-taking by investors. The below charts are all price ratios which show
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Sponsored By GraniteShares
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Sponsored By KraneShares
Newsletter
Sponsored By GraniteShares
Weekly Signals
How To Interpret the Signals: Within each strategy, there is a risk-on and risk-off investment recommendation, with the risk-off option being the more conservative of the two. When a particular signal indicates that investors should be risk-off, for example, subscribers should consider investing in the risk-
Closing Thoughts for the Week
The Fed’s widely expected rate cut last week had the chance to be a “sell the news” event, but it ended up being the opposite. U.S. stocks continued to push to new highs with tech and growth stocks still leading the way. While Powell indicated that further cuts
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Macro Observations
The Fed cut interest rates a quarter-point this week, as expected. Looking at the Fed Funds futures market right now, the market currently expects about 4-5 more by this time next year. However, economic data presents a more complex picture that raises questions about the necessity of these
High Yield Spotlight
Every week, we'll profile a high yield investment fund that typically offers an annualized distribution of 6-10% or more. With the S&P 500 yielding less than 2%, many investors find it difficult to achieve the portfolio income necessary to meet their needs and goals. This
Global View
Major U.S. indices pushed to fresh record highs this week even as labor market data showed concerning signs of weakness. The Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite all touched new peaks during the same period that initial jobless claims jumped to 263,000, their