Macro Observations
The yield curve finally works in favor of smaller banks again. The 30Y-2Y Treasury yield spread currently sits at 129 basis points. This marks the highest level for this spread since the beginning of 2022. This steepening creates a fundamental advantage for regional banks. They borrow short and lend
Global View
Trump's unprecedented removal of Fed Governor Lisa Cook marks a potential turning point for central bank independence and monetary policy. The president cited alleged mortgage fraud as justification, but the timing suggests political motivations as Trump has repeatedly demanded rate cuts that the Fed has so far resisted.
Leaders-Laggards
But Not All Of Them
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Weekly Signals
How To Interpret the Signals: Within each strategy, there is a risk-on and risk-off investment recommendation, with the risk-off option being the more conservative of the two. When a particular signal indicates that investors should be risk-off, for example, subscribers should consider investing in the risk-
Closing Thoughts for the Week
Even though the S&P 500 was little changed on the week, we’re still seeing a fairly healthy risk-on shift fueled by Powell’s Jackson Hole commentary. That shift, however, is marked by the return of cyclicals & small-caps, a move away from mega-caps &
Macro Observations
The markets reacted to Donald Trump’s firing of Fed Governor Lisa Cook earlier this week in the same way that it’s reacted to a lot of things lately. With a lot of indifference. The markets barely moved despite the fairly significant implications of what could happen if this
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High Yield Spotlight
Every week, we'll profile a high yield investment fund that typically offers an annualized distribution of 6-10% or more. With the S&P 500 yielding less than 2%, many investors find it difficult to achieve the portfolio income necessary to meet their needs and goals. This
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